Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 85828.817094 90578.839964 95329.569391 100434.247884 105760.741260 111151.435668 117016.167846
2025-11-23 77461.076601 84667.571351 92078.188333 100258.292962 109024.462044 118126.661680 128282.118693
2025-11-30 72598.909771 81559.263680 90974.477675 101584.783296 113188.253220 125471.379344 139436.012572
2025-12-07 68628.560747 78896.396664 89882.047983 102476.625373 116481.857030 131542.858586 148928.487182
2025-12-14 64817.974348 76056.395934 88274.041290 102493.923721 118538.241955 136029.092437 156486.082918
2025-12-21 61743.947036 73799.807254 87095.654990 102780.387167 120707.588778 140487.888834 163890.406526
2025-12-28 59821.120960 72698.604814 87084.483175 104260.089401 124117.309441 146260.973198 172725.523703
2026-01-04 57897.160926 71466.670571 86809.424883 105333.574382 126978.377294 151353.088036 180755.575293
2026-01-11 55948.883409 70094.672870 86272.972598 106013.398362 129310.602421 155787.748610 188003.744793
2026-01-18 53906.845192 68510.378598 85396.928532 106211.046305 131010.061726 159440.350574 194316.902308
2026-01-25 52078.466809 67098.180563 84648.929281 106490.283906 132747.918574 163097.857774 200615.853321
2026-02-01 50225.792193 65578.297266 83701.327172 106464.995171 134069.009359 166226.661657 206271.702526
2026-02-08 49063.556034 64875.972877 83722.699200 107603.471652 136798.409919 171060.512823 214019.146931
2026-02-15 47382.479788 63468.446184 82830.648466 107583.708022 138094.965493 174168.489343 219710.646918
2026-02-22 46533.042490 63067.108697 83146.811789 109024.057939 141157.908060 179403.405149 227985.620750
2026-03-01 45505.379011 62397.168931 83093.043349 109976.377219 143603.234385 183887.429303 235367.922201
2026-03-08 44099.809309 61193.261042 82325.147534 109996.238187 144863.917105 186909.953319 240967.700280
2026-03-15 42903.311732 60218.293767 81809.453663 110300.085994 146453.095825 190322.292423 247048.230336
2026-03-22 42341.766110 60048.618765 82300.984515 111867.865467 149623.300591 195693.639238 255571.223946
2026-03-29 41622.722713 59644.032520 82468.454913 113005.069487 152243.182607 200388.511348 263280.045612
2026-04-05 40760.911455 59020.385171 82327.465572 113725.177899 154321.636516 204408.395359 270164.661146
2026-04-12 39725.049842 58131.159326 81811.572313 113934.528691 155729.603392 207580.587434 275995.393061
2026-04-19 38772.091476 57325.277057 81379.364590 114230.292513 157232.793989 210867.221638 281978.593624